dijous, 11 de setembre de 2008

Mc Cain i el seu ganxo, crònica de Paxton des de DC

November 4 --we can call it E-Day for short as the impact and financial outlay are likely to be as large as its predecessor "D"-- is less than two months away so where do we stand?

The most interesting thing for me is that John McCain repositioned himself in a fascinating and complex way during his convention speech. In a deeply moving passage towards the end of his speech he described how being broken under torture taught him humility and how he now brings that humility to his often fractious relationship with the Republican party. His seriousness, sincerity, and utter honesty earned the respect of every honest observer.

Was it a great speech? It was not a great speech in three ways that convention speeches are usually great: 1) soaring broad-themed rhetoric (Ronald Reagan, Jesse Jackson, and --if we're honest-- even Pat Buchanan), 2) Hilarious zingers and one-liners that cheerfully beat up on the opposition (i.e., Sarah Palin or Anne Richards in 1988), 3) "Red meat" applause lines tossed to the party base to gin up the crowd and allow a moment of believing that your policy fantasies may actually come true.

But what it was --a grounded, earnest, and almost self-effacing speech-- was the right kind of speech for McCain to give. Even at his best he cannot compete with Palin or Obama (or even Biden). He simply doesn't have the credibility with the conservatives to pull off a red-meat speech and he doesn't have the rhetorical skills to out-orate Obama. He can do attack-dog but why would he want to invite comparisons to Palin?

So he made a virtue out of necessity and it worked extremely well.

The downsides of the speech? His forced smile during applause lines was absolutely ghastly and probably scared small children (thus alienating their mothers, a key voting bloc). The speech was oddly structured, jumping from theme to theme and circling back on itself --I found myself confused and my attention regularly wandered. He also over-played his POW hand --a little bit of POW goes a long way, especially four years after John Kerry played up his pseudo-heroism in the same war.

All in all, though, John McCain is back in this thing. Off we go!

-Paxton

4 comentaris:

A.Orte ha dit...

Si algú vol revisar el discurs de Mc Cain pot veure'l http://www.jotusa.com/2008/09/live-blogged-mccain-speech.html

Enric Tomàs ha dit...

Aquests dies li dono voltes al fet de com l'estrellat de Palin pot repercutir a McCain. En principi els vots per Palin van per McCain, però tb es podria donar el cas que la gent es fes massa fan de la Palin i al no poder-la votar directament, no acudir a les urnes. En McCain hi ha un altres assumpte que jo considero vital (mai millor dit) que és el de l'edat. És vell i això, penso, passrà factura pq així no hi ha qui vengui iniciativa de canvi.
Et felicito per la iniciativa de publicar els articles de Paxton.

A.Orte ha dit...

Enric, dues reflexions personals:
A USA el candidat conta, però el ticket també. El candidat que vol Palin sap que serà molt bona presidenta si forma part i coneix el govern d'aprop durant els 4 anys. Crec que aquests votaran. El meu dubte és més aviat el contrari. Els detractors republicans de Palin (els pocs que hi hagi) votaran sabent que és una candidata potencial?
Quant al canvi, em sembla que estàs valorant la importància des d'un punt de vista d'Obama, però si d'alguna cosa es caracteritzen els republicans és de tenir clar que cal fermesa i experiència. I de fet tant canvi, Obama encara no ha dit en quins issues farà aquests canvis, de moment és una mica com el Canvi-no canvi de la Vanguàrdia.

by Daniel Vidal ha dit...

Paxton:

No creus que és sobrevaloren els discursos de campanya?.

Quin seguiment tenen... i quin seguiment tenen entre aquells que no tenen decidit el seu vot?.

"L'efecte Palin" crec que és molt millor que qualsevol discurs, amb independència de la tècnica o els gestos realitzats durant el discurs.

Ara bé... ¿aguantarà aquest "efecte"? Quan es valori el ticket (coincideixo que allà és força important), no es veurà a Palin com poc preparada? Com l'Enric, crec que McCain té un seriós problema d'edat (potser més d'imatge d'edat que d'edat física) que no potser Palin no l'arregla.